I still remember sitting in my living room that June evening, watching the 2018 NBA Draft unfold with my notebook in hand. As someone who's analyzed basketball prospects for over a decade, I've developed a sixth sense for which picks will pan out and which will leave teams regretting their decisions. The 2018 draft class was particularly fascinating because it featured several players who had been on scouts' radars since their high school days, creating unprecedented levels of anticipation among fans and analysts alike.
When the Phoenix Suns selected Deandre Ayton with the first overall pick, I wasn't surprised but I remember feeling they played it too safe. Don't get me wrong - Ayton was a solid choice, averaging 20.1 points and 11.6 rebounds at Arizona, but there was something special about Luka Doncic that made me believe he should've been the consensus number one. I'd followed Doncic's career in Europe since he was sixteen, and his performance against grown men in the EuroLeague convinced me he was the most pro-ready prospect in the draft. The Atlanta Hawks picking him third only to immediately trade him to Dallas for Trae Young created one of those fascinating draft storylines that we'll be analyzing for years to come.
The Sacramento Kings taking Marvin Bagley III second overall raised my eyebrows immediately. I'd been lower on Bagley than most analysts, concerned about his limited right hand and defensive awareness. Meanwhile, Jaren Jackson Jr., who went fourth to Memphis, was my personal favorite big man in the draft - his ability to stretch the floor while protecting the rim reminded me of a young Chris Bosh. The draft's first real surprise came at pick five when the Dallas Mavericks selected Trae Young, knowing they'd likely trade him to Atlanta. I remember texting my colleague that night saying this could become one of those rare win-win trades that benefits both franchises.
What made the 2018 draft particularly memorable was the depth of talent available. Players like Shai Gilgeous-Alexander (11th to Charlotte, traded to LA Clippers), Michael Porter Jr. (14th to Denver), and Donte DiVincenzo (17th to Milwaukee) have all outperformed their draft positions significantly. I recall specifically telling anyone who would listen that Porter Jr. at 14 was the steal of the draft if his medicals checked out, despite his back issues causing him to slide. His scoring versatility at 6'10" was something you just don't find every day.
The later first round contained several picks that demonstrated exceptional scouting. The Philadelphia 76ers selecting Landry Shamet 26th overall proved to be brilliant value, as he immediately contributed to their playoff push. Meanwhile, the Boston Patriots picking Robert Williams 27th was a classic case of a team being patient with a raw but incredibly talented player. Williams' shot-blocking instinct was among the best I'd seen in college basketball that year.
As we moved into the second round, the draft took on a different character. Teams were looking for diamonds in the rough, and the 2018 class didn't disappoint. The Denver Nuggets selecting Jarred Vanderbilt 41st overall was one of my favorite picks - I'd watched him dominate the glass at Kentucky despite playing through foot injuries. Meanwhile, the Miami Heat taking Duncan Robinson undrafted was perhaps the biggest oversight of the entire process. I'd seen Robinson shoot at Michigan and believed his combination of size and shooting translated perfectly to the modern NBA, yet somehow thirty teams passed on him multiple times.
Reflecting on this draft three years later, what strikes me is how it transformed several franchises. The Dallas Mavericks essentially built their future around Luka Doncic, while the Atlanta Hawks found their franchise cornerstone in Trae Young. The Toronto Raptors selecting Gary Trent Jr. in the second round (37th overall) then trading him to Portland demonstrated the value teams place on draft-and-stash prospects. Meanwhile, players like Jalen Brunson (33rd to Dallas) and Mitchell Robinson (36th to New York) have become crucial pieces for their teams despite being second-round selections.
The 2018 draft class has already produced two MVP-caliber players in Luka Doncic and Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, which is remarkable considering we're only a few years removed from the draft. I've been covering the NBA draft since 2005, and this class ranks among the deepest I've witnessed. What makes it particularly special is how many players developed beyond their initial projections - eight players from this draft have already made All-Star appearances, which is exceptional for such a young group.
Looking back, my biggest takeaway is that successful drafting requires both thorough evaluation and willingness to take calculated risks. The teams that nailed their picks in 2018 weren't necessarily those picking earliest, but rather those with clear visions for how prospects would fit their systems. The Denver Nuggets selecting Michael Porter Jr. despite medical concerns demonstrated this perfectly - they understood his unique talent warranted the risk. Similarly, the Oklahoma City Thunder trading for Shai Gilgeous-Alexander showed their eye for identifying future stars before they fully blossom.
The 2018 NBA Draft will likely be remembered as one of the most impactful in recent memory, having reshaped multiple franchises and introduced several future Hall of Fame candidates into the league. As I continue to analyze upcoming drafts, the lessons from 2018 remain fresh in my mind - sometimes the safest pick isn't the best pick, talent can be found throughout the draft, and trusting your evaluation even when it contradicts consensus can yield extraordinary results.